After beating the Chargers, there are four Divisional Round scenarios available for the Jaguars

After an amazing comeback that beat the Los Angeles Chargers Saturday night, the Jacksonville Jaguars have made it to the Divisional round of the NFL Playoffs.

The Jaguars are now 5-2 all-time in Wild Card Weekend games and — after Monday — will be one of eight teams left with a chance to reach Super Bowl LVII.

Who they’ll play next weekend depends entirely on how the two other AFC playoff games shake out Sunday. At 1:05 p.m. ET the second-seeded Bills will play host to the seventh-seeded Dolphins. ET: The second-seeded Buffalo Bills host the seventh-seeded Miami Dolphins. In the primetime game the sixth-seeded Baltimore Ravens travels to Cincinnati to face the third-seeded Bengals.

There are four outcomes possible between these two games, and each would present a different opponent to the Jaguars in Divisional Round.

Here are these four scenarios, along with the probability that they will come to pass (based on FiveThirtyEight’s Elo forecast):

Jaguars @ Chiefs (80.75% chance)

All wild card teams in AFC will be eliminated after round one if the higher-seeded Bengals and Bills win Sunday.

That’d leave the Jaguars as the lowest remaining seed in the conference. And that’d mean a daunting road trip to play the top-seeded Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium.

This Sunday’s scenario is most likely because Buffalo must beat the Skylar Thomson-led Dolphins, and the Ravens have lost Lamar Jackson.

Jaguars @ Bills (14.25%)

Baltimore would be the lowest-seeded divisional round team if the Bills win against Miami and the Bengals lose to AFC North rivals.

Instead of traveling to Kansas City for the Ravens, the Jaguars will head to Buffalo to play a potentially frigid match against the Bills.

The Ravens appear to be the more likely wild card team to spring the upset Sunday, but the Jaguars playing in Buffalo still isn’t the likeliest scenario.

Jaguars @ Bengals (4.25%)

The scenario is basically the same as the previous one, except that the results are reversed.

If the Dolphins pulled off the upset, they’d take on the Chiefs and the Jaguars would meet the winner of the Ravens and Bengals. FiveThirtyEight says there’s an 85 percent chance that’ll be Cincinnati.

If it comes to fruition the Jaguars will travel from Jaguarland to Ohio to take on the Bengals.

Ravens @ Jaguars (0.75%)

Here’s the best case, never-gonna-happen scenario for the Jaguars.

Skylar Thompson, Tyler Huntley and Tyler Johnson led their teams to victories over the Bills & Bengals. The Dolphins would travel to Arrowhead Stadium while the Ravens would take on the Jaguars at TIAA Bank Field.

Don’t count on it.

Story originally appeared on Jaguars Wire

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