First two days of NFL playoffs: Overs and Underdogs

Two days into the NFL playoffs, it has been a remarkable start. Only one of the five games that we have seen so far ended in a blowout. But, San Francisco’s win against Seattle didn’t reflect the actual game. Seattle led at halftime and was within a point entering the fourth quarter. We also saw amazing comebacks, upsets being pulled off by underdogs and major favorites being pushed over the edge.

The wild card weekend ends on Monday with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers The venue will be host to Dallas Cowboys. Dallas is a 2.5-point road favorite. Let’s look at the weekend from a betting perspective before we get to that game.

Overs go perfect 5-0

Unders had a 149-119-3 record during the NFL regular season. This gave them a 55.6% win percentage. It was a low-scoring season, as the oddsmakers kept adjusting totals downward. However, unders managed to cash more often than usual.

Playoff football is a unique brand of football. The games are often tighter, the teams run more, the defenses are stronger, and the weather is more cold. You might have expected low-scoring games to continue from the regular season.

To open the NFL playoffs, under bettors went 0-5 all five games to this point have gone over the total. Other than the game between them Cincinnati Bengals Baltimore RavensHowever, it wasn’t particularly close. The San Francisco 49ers Seattle Seahawks Together, they accounted for 64 points, despite the fact that the total closed at only 42 points. The Jacksonville Jaguars Los Angeles Chargers The final total was 61, but 14 points were scored in excess. Despite the closing score of 43.5 points, Miami and Buffalo combined for 65 points.

Many quarterbacks did well beyond what was expected. Brock Purdy In his playoff debut, he threw for 332 yard and 3 touchdowns. Geno Smith He threw for 250 yards with 2 touchdowns against the San Francisco defense. Trevor Lawrence threw four touchdowns after he had thrown four interceptions early. Skylar Thompson and Dolphins somehow managed to hang 31 points on the board. Daniel Jones Nearly 400 all-purpose yards were available. Even Tyler Huntley It was better than what most people expected.

Bettors who favor betting overs have been through a tough season. They finally made their breakthrough on the biggest stage.

MINNEAPOLIS, MINNESOTA - JANUARY 15: Daniel Jones #8 of the New York Giants is seen after defeating the Minnesota Vikings in the NFC Wild Card playoff game at U.S. Bank Stadium on January 15, 2023 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. (Photo by Stephen Maturen/Getty Images)
Daniel Jones and the New York Giants The underdog won the win on the first weekend of the NFL playoffs. (Stephen Maturen/Getty Images)

Good showing by Underdogs

Like under bettors in the past, bettors who chose to side with the underdog had a great regular season. The season saw underdogs go 141-118-8, which was a solid 54.4% return for bettors. Underdog bettors’ success carried over to the postseason, however, not like underbettors.

Underdogs went 4-1 against the spread On the first weekend in the NFL playoffs. Two of these underdogs won the championship.

San Francisco 49ers were the only team that could cover the spread. It wasn’t an easy ride. It looked like Seattle was losing its grip on the game after the 49ers went up 10-0 during the first quarter. But the Seahawks settled down, and they actually led 17-16 into halftime. San Francisco had a 23-16 lead entering the fourth quarter. To make a big lead and secure cover, the 49ers scored an 18-0 run in quarter four.

The Jacksonville Jaguars were 2.5 points underdogs in Saturday’s game. The Jaguars fell behind 27-0 following four interceptions by Trevor Lawrence. Jacksonville was 18-to-1 to comeback and win the game on the live moneyline. That’s exactly how they did it, outscoring Los Angeles Chargers 31-3 in final 30 minutes.

Sunday will be the Buffalo Bills The Bills opened with a 17-0 lead early and it appeared that they would roll as 13.5 point favorites. BetMGM had 85% of all bets on the Bills, and 91% of the money backing them to cover. Miami came back to the game with a series drop, turnover, and mistake. The Dolphins held the game for the entire second half, tying it briefly just before halftime. Although Buffalo won the game, it was not convincing enough for their backers.

On the road, the New York Giants were 3-point favorites against the Minnesota Vikings However, they cashed as a +135 underdog on their moneyline to their backers. New York led 17-7 in the first quarter, but Minnesota tied the score at 24 with the end of the fourth quarter. Saquon Barkley Giants won the game by scoring the final touchdown.

The night game Joe Burrow His perfect record of 4-0 against spread playoffs carried him into the Baltimore Ravens match. Cincinnati ended as an 8.5-point favourite with 75% of the bets backing them. Baltimore held on to a 9-0 lead in Cincinnati. The game was tied at 17 in quarter four. It appeared that Baltimore was on its way to taking the lead. Tyler Huntley misplaced the ball, trying to push it over the goal line. Sam Hubbard For a Bengals touchdown, the fumble was returned 98 yards. This was the final score. Cincinnati won, Baltimore was covered. Joe Burrow fell to 4-1 against spread during his NFL playoff career.

Young quarterbacks defy the trend

On Sunday, a rookie quarterback faced a veteran quarterback. Young quarterbacks in this position have gone 17-36-1 against the spread since 2002, with a 0-3 record last season.

This was the case in all three Sunday games. Skylar Thompson made his playoff debut against the more experienced Josh Allen. Daniel Jones was facing the veteran for his first playoff appearance. Kirk Cousins. Tyler Huntley was thrust into his debut playoff action against Joe Burrow, AFC champion.

Young quarterbacks, however, bucked the trend this season. Jones, Jones, and the Giants pulled off the upset as the underdogs. Thompson and Huntley also covered the spread in their losing efforts.

Chalky first TD weekend, except one bad beat

If you like quick action, betting on the first touchdown scorer You are most likely right for you. These payouts are much higher, and you can get your result very quickly. It is one of the most popular props in every NFL game, especially primetime.

The weekend began with a very bleak start. Christian McCaffrey The first touchdown in the Seattle-San Francisco match was scored by him. He was a +250 favourite. Austin Ekeler The game was officially started on Saturday night. He’s been living in a zone called the “end zone” for the past two seasons, so it was another easy pick. Ekeler was +500.

Dawson Knox It was not an easy task to score the first touchdown at the Bills-Dolphins game, which was 11-to-1. Knox has scored touchdowns in five straight games and is on a touchdown heat. The result was not surprising and the odds were not too bad. Ja’Marr Chase was one of the top receivers in the league and scored the first touchdown. He cashed at +600 odds.

But, the Giants-Vikings match resulted certainly in some wild swings. Minnesota took the ball first and drove down field. Kirk Cousins was the one who found it Justin Jefferson Jefferson took a quick route to reach the goal line and was tackled. It was decided that Jefferson had scored. Jefferson is undoubtedly the best receiver in football. It was definitely a popular bet that he would score the first touchdown at 700.

Replay of the play showed that Jefferson was only a yard short of the one yard line. Kirk Cousins was able to score via quarterback sneak. Cousins only scored two rushing touchdowns this year and has only six touchdowns over the last five seasons. He was 40 to 1 to score the first touchdown in the game.

Cousins was the first to score, but I think there were a lot less people than Jefferson. It was a terrible beat for Jefferson bettors. But, you might have lucked out by cashing a Kirk Cousins ticket at 40-to-1It was a wonderful day.

Bills’ first half was a terrible beat

The Buffalo Bills were the favorite to defeat the Miami Dolphins. They were also expected a quick start. Buffalo was favored to win the first half by 7.5 points at BetMGM.

Buffalo started off strongly. James Cook and Dawson Knox both found the endzone to give Buffalo a 14-0 lead. Knox scored his second touchdown of game to make it 21-0. But, after review, it was decided that Knox failed to catch the catch. Buffalo was still up 17-0, so they had to settle with a field goal. You had to feel good if you expected them to win the first period by at least eight points.

The following kickoff is followed by Tyler Bass Miami had a short field after the kick was kicked out-of-bounds. It looked like the defense would hold and forced a third-and-19. Miami converted it with a play Tyreek Hill. Miami settled for a field goal in order to reduce the deficit to 17-3. Josh Allen tried to get deep to John Brown during Buffalo’s next possession. Xavien Howard I intercepted the ball at the five yard mark and returned it to midfield.

Once again, the defense of the Bills stepped up and forced a fourth-and-8. Miami kept the offensive on the field, and Jeff Wilson Jr. threw a pass behind the line-of-scrimmage to Wilson. Wilson caused a few people miss, but somehow managed to get the first down. Miami settled on another field goal to cut the deficit to 17-6.

It looked as though Allen had found Khalil Shakir on Buffalo’s next drive. This was for a 54 yard gain on third down. Replay was once again on the sidelines, and Shakir fell to the ground. Buffalo punted, and the Dolphins returned their punt to the midfield. The Dolphins made it 17-9 with 1:05 left in the half.

The Bills lost by eight points in the second half, but it was a good finish. They still had just over a minute to go. If they fail to score, they should at least be able run out the clock to make it to halftime ahead eight.

It’s not so quick. Allen threw a second interception, which was returned within the red zone. Skylar Thompson found Mike Gesicki and scored a touchdown. Two-point conversion to Tyreek Hill was successful. Instantly, the game was tied.

Buffalo kicked a field-goal before halftime to regain control, but it wasn’t enough to win back the lead for those who bettors had placed on them during the first spread. It was too late.

James Cook’s rushing prop was an exciting ride.

James Cook, the rookie running back, has been playing an increasing role in the Buffalo offense for the past few weeks. Cook was involved in the Buffalo offense and scored a touchdown rushing on Sunday. But, you can still get involved if you bet on Cook to go over 39.5 rushing yards, The second half was difficult.

Cook gained two yards on his seventh carry to increase his distance from 38 to 40 yards, presumably to cash the over. It’s not always easy.

Josh Allen ran the wrong play on his next rush. Allen seemed to be supposed to keep it as the line was blocking in one way. Instead, he gave it to Cook, who was heading in the opposite direction. Cook was then tackled by an unblocked defense for five yards. Cook was able to get back to 35 yards.

Cook gained six yards on his next two runs to increase his total to 41 yards. Cook won the over. Cook lost a yard on his 11th attempt. Now at 40, but still on Cook’s right side. Cook took the ball with just two minutes remaining to try and run out the clock. Cook was instantly stuffed for a yard.

Devin Singletary was the Bills’ choice for the remainder of their game. Cook finished the game running for 39 yards. He went over, back below, back over, then under again in the second half. He went from cashing the over and ending up with a heartbreaking under in his last game.

Two 99% props lose

Two prop bets at BetMGM This weekend, 99% of the betting action was in favor of the over. Both props lost.

On Saturday, 99% of action was behind Keenan Alley to get over 6.5 receptions. He had 13 targets and only six receptions. Justin Herbert’s overthrow of Allen in the end zone was his most obvious mistake. It cost Allen the prop bettors as well as the Chargers the game.

On Sunday, the bettors voted for Mr. He is reliable. BetMGM found that 99% of the bets on Justin Tucker were for him to win more than 1.5 field goals. It was logical. We knew Tyler Huntley would have trouble moving the ball. With Baltimore’s expected need for points, Tucker’s range was over 60 yards.

Tucker was unsuccessful in his field goal attempt. Baltimore tried to score on fourth down several times. Two drives ended in the end zone. There’s a good possibility that Tucker would have been called upon to give Baltimore the lead if Huntley hadn’t made a mistake in the fourth quarter.

It was not intended to be. Bettors are the only ones who can do the job even if they’re the most reliable players in the sport.

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