Taking inventory of groups that fell in divisional spherical

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One other week, one other assortment of eradicated playoff squads. Let’s take an under-the-hood have a look at every staff that left the stage within the divisional spherical…

51.6 Gabe Davis caught solely 51.6 % of his targets within the common season (48 of 93), the bottom price of any broad receiver who noticed no less than 50 alternatives. Davis additionally had one of many highest aDOTs within the NFL (15.3), so it isn’t as if his targets have been all layups. However there’s actually no nice strategy to spin a drop-marred season by which a major receiver barely snagged 50 % of his possibilities regardless of enjoying with an elite QB. Six of Davis’ 93 targets have been intercepted this 12 months, which is brutal. The Davis spotlight reel is lots enjoyable, however not every route is a gem.

17 — Over Jacksonville’s final eight video games (postseason included) following the staff’s November bye, Trevor Lawrence threw 17 landing passes. That was the second-highest TD complete amongst all quarterbacks throughout that stretch, trailing solely Dak Prescott (20). With Calvin Ridley becoming a member of the social gathering in 2023 and continuity elsewhere within the offense, Lawrence is headed for a 35-score season. He is a dart-thrower with ridiculous contact…

The Jags clearly nonetheless have holes to patch, however this staff has an upper-tier expertise on the spot that is most tough to fill.

7.36 — That is the proportion of Ezekiel Elliott‘s carries that resulted in positive aspects of 10 or extra yards, and, um … it isn’t nice. Zeke ranked tenth within the NFL in complete rush makes an attempt (231), however he completed tied at No. 27 in runs of 10-plus yards. He was a fairly truthful between-the-tackles hammer for Dallas, however his big-play skill is clearly diminished and he has nearly no function as a receiver as of late (23 targets). He gained a career-low 3.9 yards per contact in 2022. Elliott averaged simply 2.7 YPC over the ultimate 4 video games of the common season after RT Terence Steele was sidelined by an ACL damage. Elliott is reportedly prepared to accept a salary cut in order to remain with Dallas, however the particulars might after all nonetheless get messy on that entrance.

It is laborious to examine Ezekiel Elliott having a big fantasy function subsequent season, even when he is again with the Cowboys. (Photograph by Michael Zagaris/San Francisco 49ers/Getty Photographs)

6.6Evan Engram established new profession highs in each receptions (73) and receiving yards (766) this season in Jacksonville, and he was excellent after-the-catch, averaging 6.6 YAC/REC. That was the fifth-best price amongst all tight ends, putting him simply forward of George Kittle (6.5) and Travis Kelce (6.0). Fantasy managers could not consider Engram because the league’s most dependable pass-catcher, however he hauled in 74.5 % of his targets in 2022. He is a free agent coming into 2023, however he pretty clearly wants to remain with the Jaguars and the coaching staff obviously wants him back. Assuming he re-signs with Jacksonville, we will count on related statistical output, however maybe with a bump in touchdowns (see above).

2.91James Cook dinner and Devin Singletary mixed to common 2.91 yards after contact per try this season, which is a superbly mid-pack and unremarkable price. As a staff, the Payments do not seem to have a dashing drawback — they ranked seventh within the league this season (139.5 YPG) — however this floor sport was propped up by one other 120-plus carries and 762 yards from Josh Allen. It won’t be the worst concept for this staff to speculate sources at operating again, significantly given the standard of this 12 months’s free-agent and draft courses.

1.06Daniel Jones was intercepted on simply 1.06 % of his go makes an attempt this 12 months, the lowest-rate within the league and one of the lowest in NFL history. 5 picks in 472 makes an attempt is spectacular beneath any circumstances, but it surely’s outrageously good once you recall that two of his most-targeted receivers have been a kick returner (Richie James) and a mid-season waiver add (Isaiah Hodgins). Jones has reworked himself from a participant who would normally put the ball in danger to a man who principally by no means self-destructs. He was just a little gentle on passing scores (15) this season, positive, but it surely’s not like he was on the market throwing to Hakeem Nicks and Victor Cruz. Additionally, Jones ran for 708 yards and 7 scores, obliterating earlier profession highs. Somebody (presumably the Giants) might want to pay this man.

Extra divisional spherical evaluation

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