With 10 Days Until Oscar Voting Begins, Which Movies and Performances Lead in Critics’ Prizes?

Oscar nomination voting is just 10 days away with 32 industry awards and critics already handed out. Where does it all stand at this point in the New Year? The Palm Springs Film Festival will kick off this week. Soon, the Golden Globes as well as Critics Choice Awards will be televised.

Will “The Fabelmans” bring director Steven Spielberg his third statuette? Are all the details in place? Ke Huy Quan? Are Brendan Fraser and other early favorites going all the way? Who in God’s name will win lead actress And supporting actress? Who are the surprise nominees that could rise in these last days? Here’s a list of all the awards that have been won thus far.

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Best Picture

1. “Everything Everywhere All at Once” – 16

2. “The Banshees of Inisherin” – 5

3. “She Said” and “Tár” – 2

A24’s multiverse dramedy has been a critical darling with huge wins, including the Los Angeles Film Critics Association (where it tied with “Tár”). It’s not surprising, considering the love that has been shown for the feature from its inception. Whether the Daniels’ will tickle the fancy of the Academy at large has been the biggest question mark, no matter how passionate Film Twitter makes it sound. They aren’t wrong to be so confident about its prospects (at least on paper). The box office smash is the leader in five categories, and in four other categories, it’s second. But one fact that Oscar enthusiasts tend to forget — critics don’t vote at the Academy Awards. They are a guide to the destination but not the end. Oscars Can choose their own route (and almost always do).

This is still a wide-open race where “Banshees” could catch fire later down the road or a crowdpleaser like “Top Gun: Maverick” could take full advantage of a preferential ballot system. While “Tár” only has two wins so far, LAFCA and New York Film Critics are two significant bodies. Todd Field is on the hunt for a directing award, which bodes well.

Keep an eye on “She Said,” which remains a mysterious entity to consider, especially after its surprising AFI Top 10 mention.

Directing

1. Daniels (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”) – 16

2. Todd Field (“Tár”) – 3

3. Martin McDonagh (“The Banshees of Inisherin”), Sarah Polley (“Women Talking”) and Charlotte Wells (“Aftersun”) – 2

The Daniels have done a great job on the awards circuit, winning many awards for best picture wins. I’ve been on the record about feeling their road to the film winning the Oscars’ top prize is if the Academy feels a duo should be awarded. It is possible for the team to be recognized. It’s not impossible.

Their chances of winning the Golden Globes with the 80-year old group could increase if the Daniels are able to do so.

Best Actor

1. Colin Farrell (“The Banshees of Inisherin”) – 16

2. Brendan Fraser (“The Whale”) – 9

Farrell and Fraser are the only contenders that have won more than one critics’ prize this season. Bill Nighy’s LAFCA win for lead performance could continue to give him steam heading into the final days of SAG Awards voting. He’s pulled in the key noms for a Globe and Critics Choice.

It’s worth noting that Austin Butler’s turn in “Elvis” and Gabriel LaBelle in “The Fabelmans” have each picked up two breakout awards on the circuit.

Best Actress

1. Michelle Yeoh (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”) – 15

2. Cate Blanchett (“Tár”) – 11

3. Danielle Deadwyler (“Till”) – 2

It was a close race, with Michelle Yeoh and Cate Blanchett pulling away from the pack. Danielle Deadwyler’s two wins will hopefully keep her on the radar for a while. The only other women to have garnered mentions are Vicky Krieps for “Corsage” (perhaps helping the film’s chances in international feature) and Rosy McEwen for “Blue Jean” (a potential BAFTA favorite).

Assisting actor

1. Ke Huy Quan (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”) – 24

2. Brendan Gleeson (“The Banshees of Inisherin”) – 2

Ke Huy Quan won Gotham Award for best supporting performanceIt was his symbolic start to his dominant campaign. He earned it with his turn as the lovable Waymond Wang in the Daniels’ martial arts spectacle. His competition looks to be Brendan Gleeson’s Irish musician in Martin McDonagh’s romp. Only Gleeson, Quan and others have been identified as precursors.

Supporting Actress

1. Kerry Condon (“The Banshees of Inisherin”) – 9

2. Janelle Monáe (“Glass Onion”) – 4

3. Stephanie Hsu (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”) – 3

A surprising turn of events has been Kerry Condon’s fiery turn in “Banshees” being the most awarded on the circuit up to this point, but it makes sense when knowing many of these organizations vote with a preferential ballot system. It’s easy to see Condon’s performance as a consistent no. 2 and No. Three options with each person having their own favorites. The same could be said for Janelle Monáe’s double character duty.

Stephanie Hsu’s team is hoping the young breakout of “Everything Everywhere” can join her co-star Jamie Lee Curtis on the Oscar ballot, especially with the third most wins of the season. Notably, she also has two wins for breakthrough performer, which we don’t count in the tally in this race.

To highlight the unknown trajectory of this category, 11 different actresses have won prizes with Curtis and Keke Palmer (“Nope”), as the only ones to have more than one. Other notables include Angela Bassett (“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”), Jessie Buckley (“Women Talking”), Hong Chau (“The Whale”), Dolly De Leon (“Triangle of Sadness”) and Nina Hoss (“Tár”).

You can view the ranked predictions in each category by visiting Variety’s Oscars Hub.

Below are the top three artisans leaders (where applicable).

Note: Not all organizations award wins in the same category. For “screenplay” only winners, we’ve applied it to the place where it’s competing and have only named the top three if there is more than one win for the film.

Original Screenplay

1. “The Banshees of Inisherin” – 15

2. “Everything Everywhere All at Once” – 10

3. “Tár” – 3

Adapted Screenplay

1. “Women Talking” – 5

2. “She Said” – 3

3. “Glass Onion” and “The Whale” – 2

Animated Feature

1. “Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio” – 14

2. “Marcel the Shell with Shoes On” – 8

3. “Turning Red” – 3

Production Design

1. “Babylon” – 4

Cinematography

1. “Top Gun: Maverick” – 15

2. “Nope” – 3

3. “Decision to Leave” – 2

Costume Design

1. “Elvis” – 3

Film editing

1. “Everything Everywhere All at Once” – 10

2. “Aftersun” – 3

Makeup and hairstyling

Sound

Visual Effects

1. “Avatar: The Way of Water” – 5

2. “Everything Everywhere All at Once” – 2

Original Score

1. “The Batman” and “Babylon” – 5

2. “RRR” – 4

3. “Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio” – 2

Original Song

Documentary Feature

1. “All the Beauty and the Bloodshed” – 8

2. “Good Night Oppy” – 7 (not on Oscars shortlist)

3. “Fire of Love” – 6

International Feature

1. “RRR” – 9 (not submitted by India, but competing in general categories)

2. “Decision to Leave” – 7

3. “EO” – 3

Debut Director

1. Charlotte Wells (“Aftersun”) – 12 (a possible DGA first-time directing frontrunner)

Breakthrough performer

1. Austin Butler (“Elvis”) – 6

2. Stephanie Hsu (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”) and Gabriel LaBelle (“The Fabelmans”) – 2

Ensemble

1. “Glass Onion” – 7

2. “Women Talking” – 5

3. “Everything Everywhere All at Once” – 2

2023 ACADEMY-AWARDS PREDICTIONS

BEST PICTURE | DIRECTOR | ACTOR | ACTRESS | SUPPORTING ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ANIMATED FEATURE | PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING | SOUND | VISUAL EFFECTS | ORIGINAL SCORE | ORIGINAL SONG | DOCUMENTARY FEATURE | INTERNATIONAL FEATURE | ANIMATED SHORT | DOCUMENTARY SHORT | LIVE ACTION SHORT

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