Three ways to return your favorite weekend songs

One day remains before the divisional round in the NFL playoffs. All the points have been made about betting big favorites and teasing top seeds. There are many ways to approach the weekend’s betting slate. This is a completely different atmosphere than the regular season. There are 16 games with travel benefits and rest, so you can’t choose. Only eight of the top teams remain, and everyone is analyzing the same four games.

The statistical tug-ofwar between backing favorite teams or betting underdogs on the key number of 7 can overload our brains. There are no right or wrong answers in this situation, since both sides can be precise and grounded in solid data. However, on Sunday, the deposit will only be made to your sportsbook balance. The withdrawal will come from the other side.

What do you think? Do you want to lay big numbers or hope for close, competitive action. Although you might not have any options in the games themselves, you do have options when it comes to how to bet them. I created alternative bets last week to allow those who wish to place a wager on the favorite without having to lay a large amount. These are the three additional divisional rounds.

BetMGM currently has the Chiefs as a 8.5-point favorite. They are also a scoring machine. With this bet, I am excluding Kansas City’s offense. The concern about laying the 8.5 point is Trevor Lawrence’s growth and the dramatic improvement in Jacksonville. After making adjustments to the second-half, however, the Jaguars can be stubborn and fight their way to a cover. Clevanalytics reports that Kansas City was a 7.5-8.5 point favorite in Kansas City 10 times over Patrick Mahomes’ career. The Chiefs won every game, but were just 2-8 ATS. The Chiefs are the best bet against a Jacksonville defense, which is currently 30th in passDVOA and has just given up 30. Chargers This is an alternative to trying to find the backdoor.

This one is fairly straightforward. Surprisingly the line stayed within the Wong teaser range of 7.5 instead of moving up to 9. The books might not be comfortable writing New York +9 tickets so it may be worth putting 7.5 in reserve. While I personally think Philly covers that number, you can take the Eagles –4.5 in the first quarter if your goal is to get below a touchdown. New York and Philadelphia were outscored 40-7 in the regular season game between them. Both teams had leads of at minimum 16 points each in each half. The Eagles are the league’s top-scoring team with 17.4 points per game and rank 2nd in EPA/play, just behind Kansas City. Both metrics rank the Giants outside of the Top 20. It’s quite a difference. It’s also worth noting that the Eagles are likely to start quickly if you add in the rest advantage of the Giants having consecutive road games and the Eagles getting a bye.

Buffalo Bills — bet live (1st quarter entry)

In complete transparency, I am with the dog in this one. Joe Burrow I like to bet on catching points, especially in the playoffs. The Bills might have the most talented roster, so I thought I would offer some insight to help you decide if you want to back them. The Bengals are quick, especially in the first four weeks. These are the results of each game:

• Week 16: New England leads by 22-0

• Week 17: Buffalo wins 7-3 (canceled).

• Week 18: Baltimore wins 17-0

• Wild card: 9-0 lead against Baltimore

While I am yet to analyze the scripted plays in detail, Cincinnati scores early. The Bengals marched down Buffalo’s field and scored a touchdown in Week 17. Burrow and Bengal’s pass game cut through Buffalo’s second-ranked red zone defense like butter through butter. If Cincy’s offensive success continues, there will be an opportunity to place a live wager on Buffalo under the key number 3. While most bettors like the Bills, they feel that anything more than four is too high. This is their internal battle. If Cincinnati wins early, you will be able get a higher number live.

Stats provided by clevanalytics and rbsdm teamrankings.com.