Five matchups from Week 15 of the NFL to be exploited
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Schedule-adjusted Fantasy Points allowed aFPA, is 4for4’s answer to biased statistics. We can remove bias and make matchups more comparable. The data will continue to change as the season progresses. Regardless, aFPA This is undoubtedly the most powerful tool to gain an advantage when using waivers or building lineups.
A final point: I could offer players such things as Josh Allen And Patrick Mahomes They play almost every week, particularly when they are facing bad units according to aFPA. It is a disservice to everyone, so I will do all I can to avoid rostering fantasy players in any fantasy leagues.
These are the top plays for Week 15.
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Mike White vs. Detroit Lions
Despite a 3 to 2 TD-toINT ratio in his three starts, Mike White has scored double-digit fantasy points each time. After enduring a close loss against Buffalo in Week 14, White is now considered day to day ahead of a home matchup against Detroit Lions. Despite continuing to be a cellar dweller in the aFPA landscape Detroit is at its worst against opposing QBs. Only two teams permit more schedule-adjusted fantasy point to the position. The Lions have a record of scoring 30 points in seven games. They will face a tough matchup against a strong Jets defence, but this game could be a shootout, with both sides getting consistent offensive line play. White has exceeded 300 yards passing in two of his three starts.
The Jets will likely turn to Zach Wilson for Joe Flacco if White is unable to go. Flacco would have been an option in Superflex/TwoQB leagues, but Wilson is difficult to trust even in plus matches.
Pierre Strong Jr. with the Las Vegas Raiders
Damien Harris (thigh) missed Week 14, and Rhamondre Stevenson (ankle) exited Week 14’s win against the Cardinals. Strong was asked by the Cardinals to fill the running back position. On seven touches, he had 90 yards and a touchdown rushing. Despite being both in the endzone, he had 68 more yards than rookie RB Kevin Harris. Strong is drafted capital and has more speed and burst that Kevin Harris. This would allow for higher expected production. Strong, who was injured in skill positions in Week 14, was a disaster. He is a priority player (available in 89% Yahoo leagues) and a possible RB2/Flex in Week 15. This will depend on the injury news from the Patriots.
Alec Pierce with the Minnesota Vikings
This matchup is a top one for Michael Pittman Jr. but Alec Pierce should be played. The Vikings are 32nd on WR aFPA, allowing 3.9 fantasy points per game more than the 31st-ranked Titans. Pierce has been promising working with Matt Ryan. Pierce also has an upside because the Sam Ehlinger experiment has long passed. Minnesota has allowed at most two WRs to achieve double-digit PPR points in five consecutive games, including four in Week 14.
Greg Dulcich vs. Arizona Cardinals
In Week 15, it is possible that both the Broncos (and Cardinals) will have backup quarterbacks. Dulcich’s case is different. If Rypien starts, it isn’t as bad to see passes from Brett Rypien. After Russell Wilson’s concussion, Rypien was brought in cold in Week 14. Rypien targeted the TE position twice in eight attempts. Dulcich was not available, but he could have been the target for the leading TE. The Cardinals allow the most fantasy points, as adjusted for their schedules, to opposing TEs. They have also been great against WRs (ranked 10th in WR aFPA). Dulcich remains in the TE1 spot for Week 15, in the best matchup of him young career.
Chiefs Defense at Houston Texans
Kansas City is a defense that’s easy to defend. However, the Houston Texans are having trouble with their QB play as well as with their WR injuries. This is why they are 32nd in the schedule-adjusted fantasy point allowed to opposing defenses. It will be easier for Chiefs to target Chris Moore if Brandin Cooks or Nico Collins are out of Week 15. Moore looked like a Pro Bowler against the Cowboys in Week 14. Rex Burkhead as well as Dare Ogunbowale will be absent from the Texans’ roster this week.
It’s not easy to imagine that Kansas City would allow this. 86 rushing yards per game. The Chiefs can score (duh), which puts a lot pressure on Davis Mills, and the Texans passing game. K.C. K.C.
This story originally appeared on 4for4.com
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Jeff has been playing fantasy sports since 2001. For the better part a decade, he has been covering fantasy and traditional sports at all levels, including the amateur, semi-pro and professional. He was born in Illinois, and currently resides where James Robinson Jeff made a name for itself in college and enjoys running (establish it), followed closely by doing nothing.